43 comments
177 forecasters
Will Kim Jong-un be officially confirmed dead before May 15 2020?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2020
Closes:May 9, 2020
Resolved:May 14, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 26, 2020
When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?
Jun 2044
(Jul 2034 - >Jan 2050)
Jun 2044
(Jul 2034 - >Jan 2050)
29 forecasters
Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?
28% chance
65
Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?
15% chance
1.7k