Question
What will the magnitude of most severe earthquake to strike California in 2020 be?
Resolved:5.8Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction
5.83
(5.79 - 6.05)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 5.788 | — |
| median | 5.832 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.05 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >7.5 | 1.8% | — |
What was the final result?5.8
Community Baseline Score
64.7
Community Peer Score
43.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2020
Closes:Jul 31, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:May 2, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2020
Closes:Jul 31, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:May 2, 2020