169 forecasters

Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?

70%chance

70%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 70% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 9, 2017

Closes:

Mar 1, 2018

Resolved:

Dec 20, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2017

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