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112 forecasters
What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Current estimate
44
Top Key Factors
The lowest ranked team qualified in 2/8 last World Cups
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New round of 16 allows the third from groups to qualify, very strong change for this question
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Historical precedent shows there are surprise teams in every WC, often from the lowest ranked teams
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