14
138 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Iván Cepeda18.8%
Abelardo de la Espriella81%
Paloma Valencia0.1%
Another candidate0.1%
Top Key Factors
De la Espriella gaining street momentum
Increases Likelihood for Abelardo de la Espriella
Violence depressing rural turnout
Increases Likelihood for Abelardo de la Espriella
Desire for focus on security
Increases Likelihood for Abelardo de la Espriella
Fatigue with left-wing governance
Decreases Likelihood for Iván Cepeda
Historic Pact won recent Parliamentary Election
Increases Likelihood for Iván Cepeda