6
85 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?

0
50.6%
1
38.2%
2
8.9%
3
1.8%
4
Upcoming
Top Key Factors
July major hurricanes since 1950
4in73
Pre-September major hurricanes mean and mode over 2016-2025

Projection

1 average count By
2026
El NiƱo suppresses activity (especially early season)
Decreases LikelihoodĀ for 0
Major hurricanes peak Aug-Sep-Oct
Increases Likelihood