86 forecasters

By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

54%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 54% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 20, 2015

Closes:

May 15, 2016

Resolved:

Jan 14, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 22, 2015