58 comments
236 forecasters
Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?
65%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch