19 comments
21 forecasters
What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?
Current estimate
366M people
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Authors:
Opened:May 22, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2071
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2071
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2020
How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?
69.7 drugs
(42.3 - 117)
69.7 drugs
(42.3 - 117)
19 forecasters
What will be the number of drug overdose deaths in the United States in the following years?
13 forecasters
How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?
59.6 countries
(31.3 - 82.7)
59.6 countries
(31.3 - 82.7)
30 forecasters