Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolved:Apr 21, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 31, 2020
When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?
Feb 2042
(Feb 2034 - Jul 2056)
Feb 2042
(Feb 2034 - Jul 2056)
19 forecasters
Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?
3% chance
283
Will a world war begin before 2151?
60% chance
414