2
71 forecasters

Will AI safety legislation be enacted in 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?

Democratic Congress
80%
Republican Congress
50%
Split Congress
60%
Top Key Factors
AI is a bipartisan issue among lawmakers
Increases Likelihood
AI capabilities will drive legislation urgency
Increases Likelihood
AI model breaches may trigger safety regulation
Increases Likelihood for Republican Congress
Geopolitical competition doesn't preclude cooperation on global risks
Increases Likelihood