Question
When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?
Total Forecasters92
Community Prediction
Jan 2056
(Aug 2042 - 2193)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Aug 2042 | — |
| median | Jan 2056 | — |
| upper 75% | 2193 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199 | 23.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 7, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 7, 2020