Question
When will the first 100 million digit prime number be discovered?
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
Jan 2034
(06 May 2028 - Jul 2039)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 06 May 2028 | — |
| median | Jan 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Jul 2039 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2050 | 3.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:May 6, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:May 6, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020