Question

When will the first genome-wide association study of more than 1 million African Americans be published?

Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
13 Feb 2026
(01 Feb 2024 - 16 Jul 2028)

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QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%01 Feb 2024
median13 Feb 2026
upper 75%16 Jul 2028
Upper bound
>Dec 20400.7%
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Opened:Jun 20, 2020
Closed:Dec 31, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 22, 2020