7
87 forecasters
Will the United States launch an attack against JNIM in Mali during August 2026?
ResolvedNo
Junta Sovereignty & Anti-Western Stance
Decreases Likelihood
Russian Airspace Presence
Decreases Likelihood
Internal disagreement in US administration
Decreases Likelihood
US force use in multiple theaters
Increases Likelihood
Failure of Russian Forces
Increases Likelihood
JNIM’s Territorial Expansion
Increases Likelihood