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151 forecasters

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151 forecasters

2020 Leaderboard

Will the US see widespread rioting in 2020?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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23 comments80 forecasters

Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

239 comments800 forecasters

Second US Civil War Before 2031

6 comments34 forecasters

Russia uprising in fall 2026?

1 comment58 forecasters

Insurrection Act/martial law be declared for 2026 midterms?

3 comments106 forecasters

Will US military be deployed domestically in ≥3 metro areas in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-2026Annulled

3 comments122 forecasters

US president to invoke the Insurrection Act in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

11 comments133 forecasters

Number of large US MSAs with non-routine military deployment by Nov 2, 2026?

Current estimate

5.23 metro areas

29 comments47 forecasters

Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?