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19 comments
62 forecasters

When will a technology replace screens?

Current estimate
Nov 2046
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
nagolinc
Opened:Jul 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2101
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 16, 2020
Computing and Math
Technology
USA Today logo
Can this new gadget fix screen fatigue?
USA Today•Oct 29, 2025
Wired logo
AI Will Kill the Smartphone—and Maybe the Screen Entirely
Wired•Oct 27, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Should you supersize your TV? Scientists say there's 'no point' forking out for a 4K or 8K screen
Daily Mail•Oct 27, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

Apr 2066
(Jan 2046 - 2094)
Apr 2066
(Jan 2046 - 2094)
5 forecasters

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

Mar 2031
(31 Dec 2027 - May 2034)
Mar 2031
(31 Dec 2027 - May 2034)
13 forecasters

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

58% chance
62
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