Question
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
Total Forecasters201
Community Prediction
24 Aug 2027
(25 Aug 2026 - 13 Nov 2028)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 25 Aug 2026 | — |
| median | 24 Aug 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | 13 Nov 2028 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 2.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2020