202 forecasters

When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?

Current estimate

03 Jan 2028

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 8, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2020

Economy & Business

SpaceX’s Second-Gen Starship Signs Off With a Near-Perfect Test Flight

Wired•Oct 15, 2025

When is the next Starship launch? SpaceX working on Version 3 that could reach orbit

USA Today•Oct 15, 2025

Elon Musk’s SpaceX Achieves Successful Starship Test Flight, Paving the Way for Future Missions

Breitbart•Oct 14, 2025

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