Question

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

Resolved:Yes

9 comments9

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction

55%

(49% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

8.2

Community Peer Score

20.3

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Apr 19, 2017

Closes:

Feb 19, 2018

Resolves:

Feb 19, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 21, 2017

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Feb 2031

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Apr 19, 2017

Closes:

Feb 19, 2018

Resolves:

Feb 19, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 21, 2017

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Feb 2031

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%