Question
When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?
Total Forecasters88
Community Prediction
Jun 2040
(Oct 2033 - Apr 2050)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2033 | — |
| median | Jun 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2050 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 2.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 2, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?
68.4
Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?
10%
What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?
202
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 2, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?
68.4
Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?
10%
What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?
202