Question
What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?
Total Forecasters130
Community Prediction
4.87 %/yr
(0.975 %/yr - 8.88 %/yr)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-50 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.975 | — |
| median | 4.866 | — |
| upper 75% | 8.881 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 14, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 14, 2020