Question

Will the border conflict between India and China result in a death before 2021?

Resolved:Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

25%

(11% - 31%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-1.6

Community Peer Score

0.2

Authors:

beala

Opened:

Jun 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 2, 2020

Resolves:

Dec 2, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 13, 2020

Geopolitics

2020 Leaderboard

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

14%

Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

32%

Authors:

beala

Opened:

Jun 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 2, 2020

Resolves:

Dec 2, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 13, 2020

Geopolitics

2020 Leaderboard

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

14%

Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

32%