15 comments
111 forecasters
When will commercial space launch be priced at less than $500/pound?
Latest estimate
26 Dec 2024
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2017
Closed:Jan 1, 2019
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2017
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
25 forecasters
How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?
2262 $/kg
(105 - 24.3k)
2262 $/kg
(105 - 24.3k)
36 forecasters
When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?
>Jan 2036
(Aug 2035 - >Jan 2036)
>Jan 2036
(Aug 2035 - >Jan 2036)
18 forecasters