• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
28 comments
42 forecasters

Will US forces shoot unarmed protesters in 2020?

30%chance
30%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
xodarap
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Aug 1, 2020
Resolved:Jan 4, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2020
Politics
🏆 2020 Leaderboard
Raw Story logo
'Bang, bang you're dead, liberal': Video shows federal agent pointing gun at protester
Raw Story•Oct 29, 2025
Newsweek logo
ICE Agent Pointed Gun at US Citizen, Said, ‘You’re Dead, Liberal’—Filing
Newsweek•Oct 29, 2025
USA Today logo
Shooting at California Coast Guard base wounds 2 during immigration protest
USA Today•Oct 25, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a civilian be shot by the US national guard on US soil before the end of Trump's second term?

63% chance
29

Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?

12% chance
42

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?

60% chance
15
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature