28 comments
42 forecasters
Will US forces shoot unarmed protesters in 2020?
30%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Aug 1, 2020
Resolved:Jan 4, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2020
Will a civilian be shot by the US national guard on US soil before the end of Trump's second term?
58% chance
24
Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?
12% chance
42
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?
18% chance
52