Question

Will Metaculus Inc. host a prediction market prior to 2024?

Resolved:No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction

26%

(23% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 26%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

49.3

Community Peer Score

7.4

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jun 11, 2020

Closes:

Jun 9, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 13, 2020

Metaculus

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

95%

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

Jun 2050