Question

Will global oil consumption over the 2020-2025 period be lower than in 2019?

Resolved:No

49 comments49

Total Forecasters164

Community Prediction

(1.7% - 11%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

7.8

Authors:

minnow_beacon

Opened:

Jun 18, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 19, 2020

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Geopolitics

OPEC Predicts Soaring Oil Demand by 2050

Breitbart•Jul 11, 2025

Global Oil Output Steady, But Subtle Shifts Hint At Changes Ahead

Forbes•Jul 8, 2025

OPEC Plus agrees to pump more oil

•Jul 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will peak oil production be reached worldwide?

Aug 2031

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

30%

By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?

-3.74

Authors:

minnow_beacon

Opened:

Jun 18, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 19, 2020

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Geopolitics

OPEC Predicts Soaring Oil Demand by 2050

Breitbart•Jul 11, 2025

Global Oil Output Steady, But Subtle Shifts Hint At Changes Ahead

Forbes•Jul 8, 2025

OPEC Plus agrees to pump more oil

•Jul 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will peak oil production be reached worldwide?

Aug 2031

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

30%

By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?

-3.74