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Will Republicans win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?

In order to pass one's political agenda in the US political system, it is very helpful for a party to control both houses of Congress and the Presidency.

This question asks: Will Republicans win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?

This question resolves positively if the US GOP has (a) at least 218 Representatives, (b) at least 50 Senators, and (c) the US Presidency as of 21 January 2021. Candidates who caucus with the GOP will count toward the GOP total regardless of whether they ran as Republicans in the election.

This question has a companion question.

Will Democrats win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?

This question and its companion cannot both be true. However they could both be false if there continues to be a divided government in the US or the black swan event that a new party arises that wins the presidency or a house of congress.

A question with direct impact on this one is: Will Trump be reelected president in 2020?

These real money prediction market claims are also relevant:

Which party will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Which party will control the Senate after 2020 election?

Which party will control the House after 2020 election?


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Metaculus help: Community Stats

Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.