Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Will Republicans win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?

Question

In order to pass one's political agenda in the US political system, it is very helpful for a party to control both houses of Congress and the Presidency.

This question asks: Will Republicans win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?

This question resolves positively if the US GOP has (a) at least 218 Representatives, (b) at least 50 Senators, and (c) the US Presidency as of 21 January 2021. Candidates who caucus with the GOP will count toward the GOP total regardless of whether they ran as Republicans in the election.

This question has a companion question.

Will Democrats win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?

This question and its companion cannot both be true. However they could both be false if there continues to be a divided government in the US or the black swan event that a new party arises that wins the presidency or a house of congress.

A question with direct impact on this one is: Will Trump be reelected president in 2020?

These real money prediction market claims are also relevant:

Which party will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Which party will control the Senate after 2020 election?

Which party will control the House after 2020 election?

Categories:
Elections – U.S.

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.