Question
What fraction of US Congress seats will be held by people of color following the election on November 3, 2020?
Resolved:0.24486Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
0.245
(0.212 - 0.28)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.2118 | — |
| median | 0.2447 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.2795 | — |
What was the final result?0.24486
Community Baseline Score
105.2
Community Peer Score
13.3
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Jan 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Jan 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020