Question
How many people will die due to Ebola infection as a result of the Équateur Province Ebola outbreak before January 1 2021?
Resolved:55Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
55.2
(52.8 - 58)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 52.8 | — |
median | 55.22 | — |
upper 75% | 57.98 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2500 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?55
Community Baseline Score
58.9
Community Peer Score
20.1
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020