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How many people will die due to Ebola infection as a result of the Équateur Province Ebola outbreak before January 1 2021?

On 1 June 2020, the Congolese health ministry announced a new DRC outbreak of Ebola in Mbandaka, Équateur Province, a region along the Congo River. Genome sequencing suggests that this outbreak, the 11th outbreak since the virus was first discovered in the country in 1976, is unrelated to the one in North Kivu Province or the previous outbreak in the same area in 2018. It was reported that six cases had been identified; four of the people had died. It is expected that more people will be identified as surveillance activities increase.

By 8 June, a total of 12 cases had been identified in and around Mbandaka and 6 deaths due to the virus. The WHO said 300 people in Mbandaka and the surrounding Équateur province had been vaccinated. By 15 June the case count had increased to 17 with 11 deaths and the WHO said more than 2,500 people had been vaccinated.

This question asks: Before January 1 2021, how many confirmed Ebola fatalities linked to the Équateur Province outbreak will be reported worldwide?

This question refers only to Ebola fatalities linked to the Équateur Province outbreak, not to those linked to the earlier outbreak in North Kivu Province, or any later independent outbreak that does not result from the Équateur Province outbreak.


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