Question
When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
17 Jun 2028
(30 Oct 2024 - Nov 2033)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Jan 2020 | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 30 Oct 2024 | — |
| median | 17 Jun 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2033 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 6.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2020
Closes:Jun 2, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2020
Closes:Jun 2, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2020