Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
8
31
forecasters
4
8 comments
31 forecasters
In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
85%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (8)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
6 comments
21 forecasters
Open Phil Donations 2030
Current estimate
1.35B $
1 comment
15 forecasters
Open Phil Animal Welfare Grants 2030
Current estimate
80.9M $
1 comment
21 forecasters
Open Phil AI Grants 2030
Current estimate
165M $
0 comments
11 forecasters
Open Phil Scientific Research Grants 2030
Current estimate
103M $
13 comments
93 forecasters
EA Google Trends 2017-2030 decline < 80%?
74%
chance
0 comments
14 forecasters
Open Phil Bio Grants 2030
Current estimate
42.2M $
1 comment
15 forecasters
Open Phil Criminal Justice Reform Grants 2030
Current estimate
<10M $
8 comments
41 forecasters
Givewell 2019 Top Charities in 2031 Rankings
32%
chance