18 comments
52 forecasters
When will the population size of India surpass the population size of China?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 23, 2020
Closes:Mar 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 29, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 25, 2020
When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?
Jan 2055
(Feb 2042 - 2191)
Jan 2055
(Feb 2042 - 2191)
94 forecasters
Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?
9% chance
13
Will an anthropogenic disaster happen in China before one happens in India?
50.2% chance
52