Question
Amplified forecasting: What will Buck's informed prediction of compute used in the largest ML training run before 2030 be?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters23
Community Prediction
12.3
(9.04 - 16.4)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 9.045 | — |
| median | 12.3 | — |
| upper 75% | 16.41 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 6.2% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2020
Resolves:Jul 26, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2020
Resolves:Jul 26, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2020