28 comments
92 forecasters
In the 2020 US presidential election, will Kanye West win more votes in any state than the difference between the first and second place finishers in that state?
12%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 12% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2020
Closes:Oct 31, 2020
Resolved:Dec 18, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2020
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50% chance
100
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
4 forecasters