Question
What will be the popular vote difference in 2020 between the Republican candidate and the highest polling alternative candidate?
Resolved:-4.46Total Forecasters64
Community Prediction
-5.67
(-9.37 - -1.89)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-50 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -9.371 | — |
| median | -5.675 | — |
| upper 75% | -1.892 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?-4.46
Community Baseline Score
103.1
Community Peer Score
8.6
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020