29 comments
64 forecasters
What will be the popular vote difference in 2020 between the Republican candidate and the highest polling alternative candidate?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolved:Dec 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
13 forecasters
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?
2 forecasters