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Will the median prediction on this question fall in range [1-48]% OR [95-99]%?

Question

This is like Keynesian beauty contest, but with a twist. It will be resolved positively if median prediction on this question after closing will be from 1% to 48% inclusively OR from 95% to 99% inclusively. Otherwise it will be resolved negatively.

Categories:
Metaculus Itself

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Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.