🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018?

Resolved :No15%
18
8
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction15% (10% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
66.4
Community Peer Score
25.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Natural Sciences
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Astronomy
Planet Nine
Astrophysics
Konstantin Batygin
Michael E. Brown
California Institute of Technology
Kuiper belt
Planetary science

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