Question
When will the 7-day moving average of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases first drop below 10% of a previous peak in the US?
Resolved :23 May 2021Total Forecasters68
Community Prediction
12 Jun 2021
(15 May 2021 - 22 Jul 2021)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15 May 2021 | — |
| median | 12 Jun 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 22 Jul 2021 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >173491200000% | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?23 May 2021
Community Baseline Score
51.1
Community Peer Score
26.3
Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2021
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2020
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2021
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2020
