21 comments
68 forecasters
When will the 7-day moving average of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases first drop below 10% of a previous peak in the US?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2021
Resolved:May 30, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2020
When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?
>22 Dec 2025
(>22 Dec 2025 - >22 Dec 2025)
>22 Dec 2025
(>22 Dec 2025 - >22 Dec 2025)
35 forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters
Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?
35.4% chance
32