Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
32
96
forecasters
18
32 comments
96 forecasters
Technology
2 more...
Will China's Tianwen-1 rover successfully land on Mars?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
Yes
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (32)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
3 comments
35 forecasters
Date of first Chinese Crewed Mars Landing
Current estimate
Oct 2045
14 comments
47 forecasters
Humans sent to Mars before 2036?
15%
chance
3 comments
61 forecasters
First Group to Land Person on Mars
SpaceX
72%
NASA
23%
CNSA
20%
ESA
1%
Roscosmos
1%
10 comments
37 forecasters
SpaceX lands stuff on Mars by 2035?
An uncrewed craft
48%
At least one person
4%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
1.6%
Elon Musk
0.1%
8 comments
50 forecasters
Space Exploration Activities by China
Crewed spaceflight
23.8
Space station visits
17.6
Lunar exploration
3.62
47 comments
390 forecasters
Date First Human Lands on Mars
Current estimate
Jul 2045
125 comments
2.8k forecasters
SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
10%
chance
34 comments
151 forecasters
China Lands Next Person on Moon
50%
chance