91 forecasters

Will there be deadly conflict in the South China Sea in 2020?

3%chance

3%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 3% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 24, 2020

Closes:

Oct 31, 2020

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 26, 2020

2020 Leaderboard

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Al Jazeera•Sep 14, 2025

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Newsweek•Sep 12, 2025

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Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

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