Question
When will a language model with at least 100B parameters be open sourced including for commercial use?
Resolved:23 Jun 2022Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction
08 Dec 2021
(27 Jun 2021 - 11 Feb 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Jun 2021 | — |
| median | 08 Dec 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 11 Feb 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >23 Jan 2025 | 15.0% | — |
What was the final result?23 Jun 2022
Community Baseline Score
53.4
Community Peer Score
28.3
Authors:
Opened:Jul 31, 2020
Closes:Mar 30, 2021
Resolves:Mar 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 2, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 31, 2020
Closes:Mar 30, 2021
Resolves:Mar 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 2, 2020