8 comments
31 forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
Current estimate
01 Jun 2029
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 6, 2021
When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?
06 Feb 2028
(20 Feb 2026 - Feb 2032)
06 Feb 2028
(20 Feb 2026 - Feb 2032)
23 forecasters
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
May 2035
(<01 Jan 2030 - Apr 2048)
May 2035
(<01 Jan 2030 - Apr 2048)
19 forecasters
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
75% chance
154