11 comments
106 forecasters
Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?
1%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 26, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2020
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
39.6 users
(33 - 44.6)
39.6 users
(33 - 44.6)
18 forecasters
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
0.5% chance
128
Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026?
4% chance
161