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Questions
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Questions

Questions

44 forecasters

7

44 forecasters

Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?

29.4%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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55 comments539 forecasters

Metaculus Existence in 2030

17 comments149 forecasters

Metaculus Predicts AI Risk Significant 2040

47 comments130 forecasters

Normal world in 2030?

10 comments60 forecasters

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

36 comments117 forecasters

Date of Last Metaculus Resolution

Current estimate

172 comments275 forecasters

Which AI world before 2050?

AI-Dystopia29.1%

Singularia17.5%

Paperclipalypse8.7%

11 comments172 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

6 comments101 forecasters

Lack of Major World Events Before 2050?